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2020 United States House of Representatives election ratings
 

2020 United States House of Representatives election ratings

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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections were held November 3, 2020, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories were also elected. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2020 presidential election and the 2020 Senate elections, were also held on this date.

Election ratings

Latest published ratings for competitive seats

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.

Most election ratings use:

  • Tossup: no advantage
  • Tilt (sometimes used): slight advantage
  • Lean: clear advantage
  • Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
  • Safe: outcome is nearly certain
District CPVI[1] Incumbent Last result[2] Cook
Nov 2,
2020
[3]
IE
Oct 28,
2020
[4]
Sabato
Nov 2,
2020
[5]
Daily Kos
Nov 2,
2020
[6]
RCP
Nov 2,
2020
[7]
DDHQ
Nov 3,
2020
[8]
538[a]
Nov 3,
2020
[9]
ED
Nov 1,
2020
[10]
Winner[11]
Alaska at-large R+9 Don Young (R) 53.1% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R Likely R Lean R Don Young (R)
Arizona 1 R+2 Tom O'Halleran (D) 53.8% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Tom O'Halleran (D)
Arizona 2 R+1 Ann Kirkpatrick (D) 54.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Solid D Safe D Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
Arizona 6 R+9 David Schweikert (R) 55.2% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean R David Schweikert (R)
Arkansas 2 R+7 French Hill (R) 52.1% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Lean R Tossup Lean R Lean R French Hill (R)
California 1 R+11 Doug LaMalfa (R) 54.9% R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Solid R Likely R Doug LaMalfa (R)
California 4 R+10 Tom McClintock (R) 54.1% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Solid R Likely R Tom McClintock (R)
California 7 D+3 Ami Bera (D) 55.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Solid D Safe D Ami Bera (D)
California 8 R+9 Paul Cook (R)
(retiring)
60.0% R[b] Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R Solid R Safe R Jay Obernolte (R)
California 10 EVEN Josh Harder (D) 52.3% D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D Lean D Likely D Likely D Safe D Josh Harder (D)
California 21 D+5 TJ Cox (D) 50.4% D Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Lean D David Valadao (R)
California 22 R+8 Devin Nunes (R) 52.7% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R Solid R Safe R Devin Nunes (R)
California 25 EVEN Mike Garcia (R) 54.9% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Lean R Mike Garcia (R)
California 39 EVEN Gil Cisneros (D) 51.6% D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Tossup Tossup Lean D Lean D Young Kim (R)
California 42 R+9 Ken Calvert (R) 56.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Ken Calvert (R)
California 45 R+3 Katie Porter (D) 52.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Katie Porter (D)
California 48 R+4 Harley Rouda (D) 53.6% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Michelle Steel (R)
California 50 Zdroj:https://en.wikipedia.org?pojem=2020_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_ratings
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